Lack of long-term thinking put America in the crapper

I'm not saying we're not a great country, but if we're honest with ourselves (and truly great) we need to take a serious look at things, see where we fucked up, and get to work fixing it.

This is the utmost patriotism, the utmost love: to look at things as they are and as they should be and to strive to make them as they should be. I also happen to think that this is the best and easiest way to be a virtuous person in general, to live by that cheesy corporate catch-word, kaizen, which means "continuous improvement" in Japanese

Speaking of the Japanese, that provides a nice segue into the topic I really wanted to write about when I started this post: long-term vs. short-term planning and results. The Japanese, you see, are some of the most long-term, big-picture sort of people in the world. Did you know that Sony once poured tens of millions of dollars and ten years of labor into studying ESP and other extra-normal phenomena? Why? Because on the off chance that they hit on something, it would have been big, and they would have been way ahead of the curve. That one didn't pan out, but similar bets on microchips, small cars, solar cells, and cell phones have paid out in spades. The Walkman had a nice run, too. If I'm not mistaken, the movie Avatar (which I had the opportunity to see in 3-D and loved) was shot with cameras specifically developed for the purpose by Sony over a period of years.

Meanwhile, American business (Google aside) has continually focused on short-term, next-quarter results. Most American companies don't even have a two-year plan, let alone a five-year or ten-year plan. You would be hard-pressed to find a Japanese company that didn't have at least a five-year outlook.

(By the way, in case anyone thinks I'm pulling this out of my you-know-what: I studied Japanese business at the Master's level at one of the best universities in Asia under one of the foremost scholars in the field, who happens to be a woman, interestingly enough.)

This is precisely why Japanese companies do not axe workers the way American companies do. When Japanese companies need to downsize, they typically do it via attrition: Letting people retire and not replacing them. American companies, as all too many of us know, will lay you off by taking your computer off your desk and replacing it with a pink slip, totally un-announced.

Why the difference? Japanese workers are seen as members of a family. Loyalty to the company is everything, and companies don't get loyalty when they treat people like disposable diapers to be crapped in and trucked off to the assheap. In fact, it doesn't make sense to pursue big, bold, long-term projects with a revolving door of workers who have to be trained. Stick with the same team over a period of ten years. Take everybody out for dinner, drinks, and karaoke once in a while. You will get much better long-term results.

Of course, in the American company, this is impossible because the CEO wants his bonus, and he doesn't get it unless the company gets results right now. Google aside (When's the last time they had a mass layoff?), there is very little long-term strategic thinking in American business at any level. That, in the final analysis, explains why Ford pays Toyota for its hybrid technology. That's why GE pays Siemens for its wind technology. The American businesses that do think long-term, do so in an incredibly stupid, evil way (Think: Monsanto and its totally insane plot to dominate the world's food supply. Seriously, Lex Luthor couldn't come up with this shit.)

Anyway, what does this have to do with you and your situation? One paradox (I love those, as regular readers probably know) of long-term thinking is that it necessitates action right now. You will never achieve a long-term goal without taking many tiny steps toward it. Those steps start right now.

Hey, America, let's set some ambitious long-term goals and take steps toward them right now! China did that 30 years ago. It's worked out pretty well for them.

(Stay tuned for a future post on some ambitious long-term goals for our country.)

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chuck's picture

I like it, man.

The country your grandfather knew flew away with the capital chasing the highest return. That's what happens when you put profit above all. Live and learn, right?

When life hands you sh*t, make fertilizer.

amen

This is a great post, and it goes along with what I've been stressing out about since I've been unemployed (1.5 years). I read the news every day, and I just know that this shitty situation isn't going to just go away. We as a country have not learned a damn thing. I got my Master's degree in May of 2008, worked for a few months, got laid off, and now I can't find a job to save my life because I don't have that "three to five years of relevant experience." I'm sorry...I was furthering my education past the requisite bachelor's degree while working part-time. My bad.

We need a complete paradigm shift, but how can that happen now? Big corporations have the right to buy our elected officials even more openly now because the Supreme Court was worried about their "free speech." Funny how corporations get all of the rights of the individuals without any of the responsibilities (i.e., if I dump 10,000 tons of toxic waste in your backyard and you die, I go to jail. I don't get a bonus.) I don't even know who I'd vote for if we had an election right now because they're one in the same. Maybe it's time for a third party in our government, and maybe if things continued to get worse, the American people will stop throwing their votes and voices away.

The saddest part is that we can't even hope to aspire to have the booming economy and employment that we thought we had before the Recession...all that was an illusion. That success wasn't even real. Sometimes I think, "What's the point?" Even when I do finally find work, I won't enjoy the rewards like people used to...I'll be too terrified to spend any money because, like you wrote, American companies don't feel an ounce of loyalty to anyone but the CEO. Nothing is certain anymore. Go to college and you might get nothing out of it. Work your ass off for 35 years and get dumped as your 401(k) hits rock bottom. Pay your health insurance premiums for years and get dropped because you've got cancer. I love my country, but if we don't stop acting like a bunch of fucking idiots, stop preoccupying ourselves with Jersey Shore and our neighbor's new Lexus and start focusing on long-term goals, we don't deserve to have any influence in the world whatsoever. I've made a promise to myself that, when I do start working, I'm going to save save save until I can afford to get off the rat treadmill and start my own business.

(Sorry this post is a little scattered...I read a few of your posts before I decided I had to comment.)

chuck's picture

Very well said

I didn't think your post was scattered at all. It's right on topic, top-to-bottom and front-to-back.

It is becoming painfully clear that nothing will ever be the same, not that it was all that great but at least people had some sense of security. I'm starting to take the view that nothing ever being the same need not necessarily be a bad thing.

While I do blame the greedy class for most of our problems, it boils down to people losing all sense of civic responsibility, becoming lazy, ignorant, apathetic. Rights and privileges are like muscles -- use them or lose them. For too long our people have been focussed on the Jersey Shore and the Lexus or the best deal at WallyWorld or the next trip to Disney with the kids. As we were distracted by these shiny objects, our wealth and our country were stolen right from under our noses. In some sense, we deserve this.

My main hope is that we learn some lessons out of it. The worst isn't even upon us yet. If this whole situation does not, by some miracle, culminate in nuclear Armageddon (My post-graduate education trained me to think that far out and there are many scenarios in which we end up in a radioactive nightmare.) I have to maintain hope that the world our children build will be better than the one we're leaving them.

I have to tell you one thing about starting your own business: It doesn't get you out of the rat race. Mainly what it does is free you from an idiotic boss, but you're always chasing that cheese.

Good luck to you. Please come back.

When life hands you sh*t, make fertilizer.

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