Cost of NOT Passing the Unemployment Extension

As everyone should know, the Republicans and a couple of Democrats killed the unemployment extension and jobs bill last week. The reason behind not passing the bill was the cost -- around $25 billion.

Has anyone considered the cost of not passing this bill? I've been surfing around the 'net and have not found much on this subject so I'll take a stab at it.

The bill would have prevented around 6 million people's benefits from expiring. What will happen when these people's benefits expire? It is impossible to predict how many will lose their homes or turn to crime, but it is a very safe bet that many will. When faced with a survival situation, people's morals tend to fly out the window.

Let's take a hypothetical case -- just one -- and try to extrapolate from that. We'll call our unemployed guy whose benefits will now expire "Joe."

Joe has a little house. He has two kids. His unemployment check of $400 a week kept them -- barely -- from being thrown in the streets.

What will Joe do when his benefits run out?

Let's say Joe spent $100 a week at the local grocery store when he had benefits. Let's say Joe steals $100 worth of groceries every week until he gets caught. Not being a career criminal, he gets caught after a few weeks.

The cost to the store is $300. The cost to the community of arresting Joe and putting him through the system is in the thousands, even if he is sentenced to probation and community service.

But Joe is not done. He still has a mortgage to pay. He decides to try his hand at bank robbery. He hits a bank for $5,000 and breathes a big sigh of relief, promising to himself that he'll never do it again, when he doesn't get caught.

Cost to the taxpayer who will cover the bank's loss: $5,000.

A few months later, Joe is running low on funds again so he hits another bank. This time he gets caught. As he was already on probation for ripping off the supermarket, he is sentenced to five years in prison. Cost to taxpayers: $200,000.

Suddenly those $400 unemployment checks aren't seeming so expensive.

It gets worse, though. Joe's kids are now homeless, fatherless, and emotionally disturbed. What are the costs to society? I don't know, but I'd wager they are high and persistent.

Now to extrapolate: Let's say that only one in ten of our newly totally desperate unemployed people turns to crime to feed their families.

That leaves 600,000 "Joes" out there stealing food, robbing banks, eventually getting caught and put through the system. Joe cost taxpayers $205,000, and he cost the grocery store $300.

The cost of not passing the bill is around (drumroll):

$205,300 * 600,000 = $123 billion and change

That's less than the annual cost of our two stupid wars but considerably more than the cost of the unemployment extension.

Even without crime, there will be other costs, such as the cost of all the new foreclosures and the added burden on homeless shelters.

Just something to think about...

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Republican unemployment benefit rejection

Is the latest rejection of the unemployment benefit extension by the Republican party, in fact a conspiracy to control the outcome of the upcoming November elections, by dislocating and disqualifying voters who have lost their jobs and been trying to survive on unemployment benefits ?

If you have lost your job and now have lost your unemployment benefits and as a result have lost your home and you move, will you still be able to vote against the Republicans if you loose your resident status ?

Convenient isn't it !

chuck's picture

I doubt it's that nefarious

But politics is a dirty game so I wouldn't rule it out.

It's probably just an attempt to play to their base.

When life hands you sh*t, make fertilizer.

Expired benefits

I am 39, have a college degree and have been working the majority of my life. I was laid off last July and have been looking for work in my area ever since. I was getting ready to look into going back to school when I heard about the extensions being cut off. Mine ended today...not really sure what to do now...I have a mortgage, bills, etc. I am not married and will go through my savings in about 3 months. I am not one to turn to crime, even in desperation, but if I had kids...I could see why many people would risk it. I myself and praying for a miracle...but I would settle for another extension.

unemployment benefits

The republicans actually accused the democrats of trying to pass the extension to gain votes in the upcoming election today.
Another thought on the dire situation we find ourselves in:
What about the health issues we face. It's no secret, we are STRESSED OUT. Stress, depression, anxiety. . . These can lead to physical and emotional issues as well. There was already one instance where a man lost his job and killed his whole family and himself.
I have 2 kids. Aside from looking and applying for jobs, I've been collecting aluminum cans and trying to find any odd job I can get.(I've never seen so many people digging through trash on any given day in my life as I have the past few weeks.) And the ones blocking the extension have the nerve to refer to us as bums looking for a handout! The working people have been the backbone of our country and economy and now after they bail out the greedy banks they can't keep us and our kids off the street.

chuck's picture

Goddamn right

You know who the bums looking for a handout are? The fucking rich, corrupt bastards who caused this mess and stole every dime they got from working suckers like you and me.

Why are we taking this shit? We outnumber them 90-1 (or 9-1 if you count their pear-shaped technocratic toadies). Now I understand how the pyramids got built back in the day. (The basic physics of the thing prove that there must have been many more slaves than masters.) Well, as far as I can recall from first grade history class, we don't cotton to slavery in the United States of goddamn America.

When life hands you sh*t, make fertilizer.

Damn Right!

I'm sick of it. Last school year in order to spend as little as possible I got most of my kids clothes at Goodwill and other thrift shops and seconds stores. It looks like they'll be wearing hand-me downs if we can get any or just the clothes that will be too small for them. I'm tired of eating ground beef and vienna sausage. I have cut spending every way I can think of just to squeeze by. They have drug their asses long enough that many are going to be in the hole so far that even if benefits are extended they're still going to be screwed.
I'm pretty sure the scum will be thinned down in the upcoming election. Until then, I'm still praying(while it's still legal) and hoping they do what is right for once in their life.

chuck's picture

Let's cool down

Look at the bright side for a minute:

When all is said and done, we are alive, and this is a gift. If you are a praying person, you probably already know how God challenged and tormented his most beloved, including, if you're a Christian, His own son.

I'm not one to take these stories literally, but much wisdom can be gleaned from them.

Your children will survive, and 70 years from now they will be telling their grandchildren about these hard times, just as my grandparents told me of the Great Depression. They will be better people for having endured these hardships. We will all learn hard lessons and -- I happen to believe -- our entire society will be better for it in the end.

And look at the bright side: You have two children to love unconditionally and who, I imagine, return your love. That is the definition of a successful life.

Peace.

When life hands you sh*t, make fertilizer.

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